SEB report: Oil market - preparing for the worst

2/3/2012 11:49:00 AM
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There are a lot of factors impacting crude oil prices, from increased OPEC production and the pending EU ban on imports from Iran, to the potential of that country to disrupt supplies through the Strait of Hormuz. In this landscape, SEB commodities experts expect prices to remain at or above current levels with the current risk price skewed to the upside.

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SEB: Restatement of financial effects following the Ukrainian Retail divestment

1/27/2012 12:04:29 PM

Following our announcement of the restructuring of SEB's Ukrainian business on November 18 2011, we today publish restated historical accounts divided into continuing and discontinued operations.
See this link for a presentation of the figures: Restate Ukrainian Retail divestment (pdf)

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Invitation - SEB's fourth quarter 2011 results

1/23/2012 7:30:00 AM

On Tuesday, 7 February, at 07:00 (CET) SEB's fourth quarter 2011 results will be announced. In addition presentations and Fact Book will be available on www.sebgroup.com/ir in conjunction with the events below.

Tuesday, 7 February

Press conference
Time: 09:30 (CET)
Venue: Kungsträdgårdsgatan 8, Stockholm
Annika Falkengren, President & CEO, will present and comment upon the results. Please note that the presentation will be conducted in Swedish.

The press conference can be followed live on  (...)

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SEB report: Divergent trends to continue

1/19/2012 1:29:00 PM

Economic Insights 19 JanuaryClear signals of a US recovery combined with a deepening euro zone debt crisis have figured prominently in recent economic developments. SEB’s economists have presented updated forecasts for various regions in the past week. They have adjusted GDP growth in the United States upward to 2.3 per cent in 2012, while they now expect the euro zone economy to shrink by 0.6 per cent. Strong fourth quarter 2011 GDP figures have led to an upward revision of this year’s Chinese growth. Taken together, this means that SEB now anticipates marginally higher global growth compared to the November forecast in Nordic Outlook.

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SEB facilitated gifts to SOS Children’s Villages in Latvia

1/18/2012 9:30:00 AM

SOS Children's Villages promotion

SEB together with customers, partners and the Latvian public raised almost 4,300 Latvian lats for SOS Children’s Villages through a range of activities – including online games and sharing on social networks – from 17 November to 6 January.

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SEB report: Danish fiscal stimulus less expansionary

1/18/2012 9:15:00 AM

Den lille havfrue in CopenhagenNet exports have stopped being the growth driver for the Danish economy. Instead, after retrenchment in 2011, fiscal policy will take over as growth driver in 2012 due to public investments and one-off transfers from a pension reform. However, the stimulus looks to be smaller than originally estimated. SEB’s economists therefore revise down their growth projection for the Danish economy in 2012 to 0.5 per cent but leave it at 1.4 per cent for 2013.

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SEB report: Norway is still not quite like others

1/18/2012 9:05:00 AM

Central OsloThe broad contours of SEB’s economists’ expectations for the Norwegian economy remain intact. Growth in overall GDP should accelerate to 2.1 per cent in 2012 helped by a very strong investment cycle in the oil sector. However, relative to their outlook in November last year, they have sliced their forecast for growth in mainland GDP – excluding oil/gas and shipping – to 2.4 per cent in 2012, marginally slower than in 2011, but leave the 2013 forecast at 2.9 per cent.

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SEB report: Oil price gives support to Russia’s growth

1/18/2012 9:00:00 AM

CathedralSEB’s economists maintain their relatively positive view on Russia in the near term as long as the oil price stays at roughly the level as it is today. They forecast GDP to grow by 3.6 per cent in 2012 and 4.1 per cent in 2013, a minor downward revision for both years compared to the forecast made in November 2011.

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SEB report: UK to escape recession

1/17/2012 2:30:00 PM

Foggy London, WestminsterSEB’s economists in a note says that while the ongoing crisis in the euro zone and worsening economic outlook for many of the UK’s important trading partners are downside risks, leading indicators such as the PMIs have been encouraging, suggesting that GDP growth will turn positive again in the current quarter. The UK may thus escape a technical recession. All in all, SEB’s GDP forecasts have been lowered to 0.4 per cent for 2012 and 1.7 per cent in 2013.

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SEB report: Chinese growth forecast revised up

1/17/2012 2:00:00 PM

Economic Insight for ChinaSEB’s economists have raised their forecast for China’s GDP growth to 8.5 per cent in 2012 and 8.7 per cent in 2013 following growth of 8.9 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2011. The economists say that as long as the euro zone debt and banking crisis does not spread globally there’s a chance growth could exceed the forecast.

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Commodities Monthly: Focus shifting to Chinese easing

1/17/2012 10:11:00 AM

Commodities Monthly January 2012In a new issue of Commodities Monthly, SEB’s experts say commodities prices are likely to struggle during the first half of 2012 with leading indicators still forecasting relatively low economic activity over the next six months. However, accelerating US growth, long term ECB refinancing operations and monetary easing in China are supportive factors. Global commodity destocking continued in December, opening up the possibility of restocking at a later stage.

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SEB report: Finland slows down due to weak exports

1/16/2012 1:30:00 PM

FinlandThe ongoing crisis in the euro zone and a weak economic outlook for many important export partners is taking its toll on the export dependent Finnish economy. Leading indicators have been continued to fall in late 2011 after a temporary upturn in September-October. SEB’s economists have revised downwards their 2012 and 2013 economic growth forecast for the Finnish economy to 0.5 per cent and 1.7 per cent respectively.

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S&P upgrades SEB's rating to A+

12/2/2011 7:00:00 AM

The rating agency Standard & Poor's has upgraded SEB's long-term rating to 'A+' with stable outlook from the previous 'A'. Standard and Poor's highlights the bank's position as the Nordic market leader in capital markets and investment banking and its strong position in other diverse business areas such as cards, wealth management, life insurance, and retail mortgage lending.

"It is with satisfaction we note that Standard & Poor's confirm the financial stability we have built over th (...)

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SEB the "Bank of the Year 2011''

12/1/2011 8:00:00 AM

The Banker magazine has named SEB the Bank of the Year 2011 in three countries: Sweden, Estonia and Latvia. The Bank of the Year awards acknowledge the banks with the best overall performance in their country.

"We are very honoured to be recognised as the best bank in Sweden, Estonia and Latvia by The Banker. I am very grateful for the amazing team effort across SEB; a team that always has our customers in focus," Annika Falkengren, President and CEO, says.

The awards for 2011 were presented  (...)

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SEB: Investment Outlook, December 2011: Investment strategies in a shaky financial environment

11/29/2011 10:30:00 AM

Right now, investors around the world are experiencing a period of almost unprecedented financial turmoil. Natural assumptions and associations that were once valid, such as the safe harbour status of government bonds, have been turned upside down. Nowadays there is very little confidence in the capacity of political leaders to solve problems and confidence in the financial markets. The methods we should employ as investors are undergoing continuous adjustments. 

Many investors have bec (...)

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SEB: Nordic Outlook: Balancing at the edge of a recession - as the euro faces an uncertain future

11/22/2011 10:00:00 AM

The situation is becoming more and more serious. Conflicting interests and deficient problem awareness has blocked crisis management efforts and created political dithering. The world economy will be close to recession in 2012. Growth will be lacklustre in 2013 as well. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the 34 industria­lised OECD countries will grow by 1.2 per cent in 2012 and 1.8 per cent in 2013. The risk of worse performance is greater than the probability of stronger GDP growth, mainly (...)

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SEB divests its Ukrainian retail business to Eurobank Group

11/18/2011 7:30:00 AM

SEB has signed an agreement to sell its retail banking operations in Ukraine to Eurobank Group. SEB's business in Ukraine is limited: at mid-year 2011, loan volumes amounted to less than SEK 2bn.

SEB will remain in Ukraine as a corporate  bank, continuing to serve its Nordic, Baltic and German corporate and institutional customers.

The completion of the sale is conditional upon regulatory approvals and is expected to be finalised by mid-2012.

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SEB: Third quarter of 2011: Operating profit SEK 3.7bn (2.8)

10/27/2011 7:00:00 AM

"The operating profit of SEK 3.7bn in the third quarter is evidence of our cautious stance and strong relationship banking model. Customer driven income was higher than any quarter to date and customers have been active, in particular within our trading business, where income increased. Customer driven net interest income was up by 6 per cent compared with the previous quarter reflecting increased demand for lending and deposits. For the first nine months, both lending and depos (...)

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Invitation - SEB's third quarter 2011 results

10/14/2011 10:47:05 AM

On Thursday, 27 October, at 07:00 (Swedish time) SEB's third quarter 2011 results will be announced. In addition presentations and the Fact Book will be available on www.sebgroup.com/ir  in conjunction with the events below.

Thursday, 27 October

Press conference
Time: 09:00 (local time)
Venue: Kungsträdgårdsgatan 8, Stockholm
Annika Falkengren, President & CEO, will present and comment upon the results. Please note that the presentation will be conducted in Swedish.

The press conference  (...)

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Eastern European Outlook: Growth will slow - but not as sharply as in the West

10/5/2011 10:00:00 AM

Eastern (including Central) Europe has recovered nicely since the financial crisis and deep recession of 2008-2009. Economic growth is now on its way towards slowing in 2012, in response to weaker global demand, but will not decelerate as quickly as in Western Europe. Given relatively low or moderate public sector debts, domestic demand will be fairly resilient, writes SEB in its October 2011 issue of Eastern European Outlook.

Because of more favourable public debt positions, large budget def (...)

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